{"id":10789,"date":"2020-10-15T09:32:18","date_gmt":"2020-10-15T09:32:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/?p=10789"},"modified":"2022-09-07T02:54:16","modified_gmt":"2022-09-07T01:54:16","slug":"premier-oil-reverse-takeover-by-chrysaor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/news\/westwood-insight\/premier-oil-reverse-takeover-by-chrysaor","title":{"rendered":"Premier Oil \u2013 reverse takeover by Chrysaor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW18633752 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW18633752 BCX0\">Premier has recommended that its investors accept a reverse takeover offer from Chrysaor creating an E&amp;P company with 245,000 boe\/d of production. Premier will retain its stock market listing, but its existing equity investors will only own c.5% of the merged company while its bondholders will get between 61-75 cents cash in the US$ owed to them. <\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW18633752 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW81660307 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW81660307 BCX0\">The deal consolidates Chrysaor\u2019s position as the number one UK producer. Premier\u2019s North Sea assets are a good\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW81660307 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2 SCXW81660307 BCX0\">fit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW81660307 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW81660307 BCX0\">\u00a0and the combined portfolio will provide synergies, with Chrysaor now having the ability to reduce its UK tax liabilities from Premier\u2019s tax losses \u2013 though at a cost to the UK treasury. Premier\u2019s international assets, particularly Zama and Sea Lion, could provide growth options to diversify the portfolio and offset the underlying decline in production from the mature UK fields.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW81660307 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This note\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">gives\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0preliminary\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">asse<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ssment<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the deal\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">from each company\u2019s perspective and the outlook for the merged company and the<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0wider<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0North\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Sea\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">M&amp;A market.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The\u00a0<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">D<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">eal<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0is to merge with\u00a0Chrysaor<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the UK\u2019s largest oil and gas producer,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in a reverse takeover which will maintain Premier\u2019s stock market listing.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">will issue<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0new shares to\u00a0Chrysaor<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2019s\u00a0private equity owners which will<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">repay\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier\u2019s<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> US$2.7bn of gross debt facilities (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier\u2019s current letters of credit worth US$0.4bn will also be refinanced as part of the deal.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">recent\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">deal to acquire BP\u2019s equity in the Andrew Area and Shearwater fields (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">2)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0has been terminated, as has its previous refinancing plan<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0based on the BP deal<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This latest deal was opportunistic \u2013 Premier announced last month that it was in discussions with third parties, including\u00a0Chrysaor, to see if it could agree a better deal than the refinancing plan it announced in August. Premier needed\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to conclude\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a deal due ahead of its\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">debt\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">maturity in May 2021 (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">3)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0was able to move quickly given its private equity ownership and has agreed a deal<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0subject to the approval of Premier\u2019s creditors and shareholders.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Deal completion is expected\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">during<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Q1 2021.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The deal with\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0will see Premier\u2019s e<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">xisting creditors receive a cash payment of US$1.23bn<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, equivalent to 61 cents in the US$<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0owed to them<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, together with new shares in the combined\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">company<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. A partial cash alternative to the new shares is being offered, up to a capped limit of US$175m. If creditors take the cash equivalent up to the limit available, it would be equivalent to 75 cents in the US$.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0The creditors will have to ch<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">o<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ose between the upside that equity in the new combined entity could\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">potentially\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">provide them with, or an additional 14 cents in the US$\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">cash paid on completion.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Assuming that\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">all the<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0partial cash alternative is taken,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Premier\u2019s stakeholders would own 16.08% of the new entity, with 10.63% of that held by existing creditors and 5.45% held by Premier\u2019s existing equity holders.\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0would own 83.92%<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, of which 39.02% would be held by Harbour Energy,\u00a0Chrysaor\u2019s\u00a0main private equity financier. If\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">none of<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0the partial cash alternative is taken up the new entity will be owned 23.0% by Premier (with existing shareholders having 5.0%) and 77.0% by\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0(with Harbour 38.5%).\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Based on Premier\u2019s immediate pre-merger announcement share price, its market cap<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0was US$184m. With its shareholders set to own 5.45% of the new entity (assuming that the creditors take the maximum cash payment available), the newco needs to have a market cap<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">at least\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">US$3.38bn<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0for the deal to be\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">at a premium to the pre-deal valuation<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. The newco will have net debt of US$3.2<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">bn on deal completion, which<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0would<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">give<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0an enterprise value of $6.58bn.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The newco will have 2P reserves of 717\u00a0mmboe\u00a0(at end-2019) and H1 2020 combined production would have been 254,000\u00a0boe\/d.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">If<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0an EV of US$6.58bn\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is achieved<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0it is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">equivalent to EV\/2P US$9.2\/boe\u00a0and US$2<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">5<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">9<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">00 per flowing\u00a0boe\/d.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The following table compares the newco\u2019s metrics against\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Cairn Energy and\u00a0En<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">quest,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">with UK production<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, and Aker BP and Lundin, Norwegian players<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<table data-tablestyle=\"MsoNormalTable\" data-tablelook=\"1184\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Company<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Enterprise Value<\/span><\/b><br \/>\n<b><span data-contrast=\"none\">US$m<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">2P Reserves<\/span><\/b><br \/>\n<b><span data-contrast=\"none\">mmboe<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Production<\/span><\/b><br \/>\n<b><span data-contrast=\"none\">boe\/d<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">EV\/2P<\/span><\/b><br \/>\n<b><span data-contrast=\"none\">US$\u00a0boe<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">EV\/Production<\/span><\/b><br \/>\n<b><span data-contrast=\"none\">US$&#8217;000 per\u00a0boe\/d<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Premier Oil (pre deal)<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">2,146<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">175<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">67,500<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">12.3<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">31.8<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Chrysaor\u00a0\/ Premier newco<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n\/a<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">717<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">254,000<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n\/a<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">n\/a<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Cairn Energy*<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">710<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">43<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">21,000<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">16.5<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">33.8<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Enquest<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">1,408<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">213<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">66,055<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">6.6<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">21.3<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Aker BP<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">9,264<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">906<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">212,500<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">10.2<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">43.6<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">Lundin<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">9,415<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">693<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">157,000<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">13.6<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td data-celllook=\"69905\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">60.0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:2,&quot;335551620&quot;:2,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h6><span data-contrast=\"auto\">*<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Assumes\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Cairn\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Senegal sale completes<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h6>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">It looks highly probable that the Chrysaor \/ Premier newco would achieve a higher enterprise value for Premier\u2019s shareholders than pre-deal, based on the benchmarks.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0alternatives\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Chrysaor<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0deal,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">such as the refinancing associated with the BP asset acquisition, had it gone ahead, would also have been significantly dilutive to shareholders too. Premier\u2019s share price closed 2% up on the day of the merger announcement reflecting a perceived value-neutral deal for equity holders.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A key upside for\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0from the deal will be to utilise Premier\u2019s US$4.1bn of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">accumulated\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UK tax losses. At end-H1 2020\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0had deferred tax liabilities of US$1.5bn on its balance sheet<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Although\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0received a tax credit of US$96m in H1 2020, it has paid an average US$<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">223<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">m\/year in tax over the past\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">two<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0years.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Offsetting the tax liabilities from the producing assets with Premier\u2019s tax losses<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0could create significant value for the newco and its investors \u2013 but at the expense of significantly reduced tax revenues from the North Sea for the UK. The\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">government\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UKCS tax revenues in 2019-20 were US$1.6bn (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">4)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0with the Brent oil price averaging US$52.3\/bbl.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Further savings will be made through eliminating G&amp;A costs from the\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0\/ Premier merged\u00a0newco.\u00a0Chrysaor\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">G&amp;A costs are currently US$58.4m\/year based on its H1 2020 accounts, with Premier\u2019s G&amp;A costs US$8.4m\/year. Savings are also likely on net financing costs (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">5)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0Chrysaor\u2019s\u00a0net finance costs were US$307.0m in FY 2019\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">with US$2.2bn of net debt. Premier\u2019s FY 2019 net finance cost was US$352.5m with net debt of US$2.2bn. The newco is expected to have net debt of US$3.2bn on deal completion.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The\u00a0<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">A<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">sset\u00a0<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">P<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ortfolio<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The following charts show the combined Chrysaor \/ Premier newco\u2019s 2P reserves and 2C resources as at end-2019 and the contribution to the total from each company (6)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h6><em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10790\" src=\"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-1.png\" alt=\"combined Chrysaor \/ Premier newco\u2019s 2P reserves and 2C resources as at end-2019 \" width=\"1000\" height=\"752\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-1.png 1000w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-1-300x226.png 300w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-1-768x578.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><br \/>\n<\/em>Source: Chrysaor \/ Premier merger documentation, 6<sup>th<\/sup> October 2020<\/h6>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The newco will have 93% of its 2P reserves in the UK, with 76% of this contributed by Chrysaor reflecting its position as a major UKCS player. Premier\u2019s 24% contribution includes\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">its<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0small international 2P reserves.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">63% of the 2P reserves are operated by the newco.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier has a much bigger 2C resources position<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">largely due to its equity in Sea Lion in the Falkland Islands and Zama in Mexico, and contributes 73% of the newco total compared to Chrysaor\u2019s 27%. Premier\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">has been<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in discussions to farm-down its equity in Sea Lion and had put Zama up for sale. Harbour has stated that it wants to create\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a diversified E&amp;P portfolio and may look to retain some or all Premier\u2019s international assets.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0In 2018 Harbour made an unsuccessful bid for Santos, so its international aspirations are credible.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The following charts show\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">254,000 boe\/d\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">H1 2020 production of the combined Chrysaor \/ Premier newco,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">broken down<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0by key assets \/ hubs<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and the contribution from Chrysaor and Premier (7)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h6><em><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-10792\" src=\"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-2-1024x409.png\" alt=\"H1 2020 production of the combined Chrysaor \/ Premier newco, broken down by key assets \/ hubs and the contribution from Chrysaor and Premier\" width=\"1024\" height=\"409\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-2-1024x409.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-2-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-2-768x307.png 768w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-2.png 1514w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><br \/>\n<\/em>Source: Chrysaor \/ Premier merger documentation, 6<sup>th<\/sup> October 2020<\/h6>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Chrysaor operates three main production hubs in the North Sea, the Armada, Everest, Lomond, Erskine hub; the J-Area; and the Greater Britannia area. These accounted for 58% of Chrysaor\u2019s production in H1 2020 and 43% of the combined newco total. Premier\u2019s key producing asset is its operated Catcher Area which accounted for 42% of its production in H1 2020 and 11<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">% of the combined total. Other Premier assets include Solan (100% equity), Chrysaor\u2019s first development in the UKCS which ironically Premier helped\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Chrysaor\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to fund (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">8)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0before the private equity investment in Chrysaor.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The following chart shows\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the production profile (<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">9)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0for Chrysaor, Premier UK and Premier\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">international assets.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Assets under development and near-term developmen<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ts are included,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">but assets yet to receive FID, such as Premier\u2019s Zama and Sea Lion discoveries, are excluded<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h6><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\"> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10793\" src=\"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-3.png\" alt=\"Production profile for Chrysaor, Premier UK and Premier\u2019s international assets\" width=\"1000\" height=\"462\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-3.png 1000w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-3-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/www.westwoodenergy.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/WI-Premier-Oil-Chrysaor-Chart-3-768x355.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span>Source:\u00a0Westwood Atlas and analysis<\/h6>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Chrysaor\u2019s key UK assets are mature and its production profile\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is in decline<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, with output set to fall from\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">nearly<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0190,000<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0boe\/d<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in 2020 to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">107,000 boe\/d in 2025 and\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">45,000 boe\/d in 2030. In the short term the addition of Premier will\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">help offset the decline\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">with its UK<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0production increasing from 44,000 boe\/d to 55,000 boe\/d over the next two years<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, largely driven<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0by the start-up of the Tolmount field.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">From 2023 onwards\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Premier\u2019s UK and international production<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0declines<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. This would be transformed if a fast-track development<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of Zama goes ahead (operator Talos is looking at a 2023 start-up date though this may be optimisti<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">c<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u2013 assuming that Harbour decides\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to keep the asset rather than sell it as Premier had intended to.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Harbour stated in the merger announcement that it intends\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">to continue to reinvest in the North Sea<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, though it is not clear if this relates to further deals<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0or for capex<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in new projects.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Chrysaor\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">is investing<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to extend the li<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">fe of the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">production hubs<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0it previously acquired<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to \u2018maximise economic recovery<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u2019\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(and delay abandonment),\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">key aims\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">for the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UK\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Government<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Without\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">further investment the Chrysaor \/ Premier\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">newco\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">production\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">would<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0fall by nearly 75% over the next ten years<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The company will be a cash cow,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">with<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Premier\u2019s UK tax lo<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">sses offsetting Chrysaor\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UK\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">tax liabilities.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">With\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UK tax being offset,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">economics of\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">new North Sea dev<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">elopments will\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">also\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">be enhanced<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0which may be an incentive for the newco to invest<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0further capex<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0in the UKCS<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">It remains to be seen whether the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">newco\u2019s\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">free cash will be used to fund\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UK<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and\/or\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">international developments<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and\/or corporate purposes such as paying down the newco\u2019s US$3.2bn net debt<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and funding dividend payments to Harbour and the other equity owners<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0of the Chrysaor \/ Premeier newco.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">HitecVision, the Norwegian private equity<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0company, has received more than US$2bn in dividends\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">fr<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">o<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">m its 30.4% stake in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">V<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00e5<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">r Energi in Norway<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0since 2016<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, which may be a precedent for the\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0\/ Premier\u00a0newco.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Implications for the\u00a0<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">North Sea\u00a0<\/span><\/b><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">M&amp;A Market<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0reverse takeover\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">offer\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">for Premier<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0is\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">an\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">opportunistic<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0deal<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, reflecting Premier\u2019s increasingly urgent needs to refinance its debt and\u00a0Chrysaor\u2019s\u00a0ability to\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">react<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0rapidly. The good fit of the assets and potential upside from reducing tax liabilities added to the deal momentum.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">T<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">here are other companies\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">burdened by<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0debt such as\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and\u00a0Enquest\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">and Delek\/Ithaca\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">which may be receptive to a corporate deal<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">P<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">rivate equity investors still have enthusiasm for investing in the North Sea.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">HitecVision, the Norwegian private equity group, announced this month that it had a fund of up to US$1.1bn available to invest in its Norw<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">e<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">gian upstream<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0E&amp;P company, Sval Energi, and its UK E&amp;P company, N<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">EO<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0(which recently completed a US$635m purchase of a package of UK assets from Total).\u00a0HitecVision\u00a0also has an equity stake in V<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00e5<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">r Energi in Norway.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This latest deal\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">does not necessarily<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0herald an upsurge in M&amp;A activity<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0as in the current market there are few cash buyers<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0un<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">less the assets provide a compelling strategic fit and\/or\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">they are being sold at cheap prices by distressed sellers.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The reaction of the market to the\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0\/ Premier merged company\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">will be watched with interest, particularly to see if it achieves the market cap. of at least US$3.4bn at which point Premier\u2019s existing shareholders will have broken<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">&#8211;<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">even from the deal.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Harbour is restricted from\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">selling its shares in the\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0\/ Premier newco for 12 months\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">from the date of completion but could then reduce its<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0stake.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">If the\u00a0Chrysaor\u00a0\/ Premier newco is a\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">market\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">success<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0other private equity players<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">,<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">such as\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">those invested in\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Neptune Energy,\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">could look to exit through a listing (which last month stated that it was considering an IPO in 2021).<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Private equity investment has been vital in forming and sustaining a new generation of E&amp;P companies that have become increasingly important players in the North Sea. Whether equity investors and bondholders will\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">again be\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">attracted<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0to the sector remains to be seen\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">given<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0their recent experiences with companies such as Premier<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0and<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0Hurricane\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">not to mention\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">concerns around\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Energy Transition<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Keith Myers, President, Research<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:kmyers@westwoodenergy.com\">kmyers@westwoodenergy.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Yvonne Telford, Senior Analyst<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:ytelford@westwoodenergy.com\">ytelford@westwoodenergy.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>1 The US$2.7bn includes debt and currency and interest rate hedges. Premier\u2019s gross debt at H1 2020 was US$2.1bn with net debt of US$2.0bn<br \/>\n2 Westwood Wildcat Corporate Report, June 2020<br \/>\n3 Westwood Wildcat Corporate Report, August 2020<br \/>\n4 UK Oil and Gas Authority<br \/>\n5 Finance expenses less finance income<br \/>\n6 Chrysaor \/ Premier merger announcement<br \/>\n7 Chrysaor \/ Premier merger announcement<br \/>\n8 Chrysaor gained a 100% interest in the Solan licence in 2008. Premier acquired a 60% interest in Solan in 2011 for a US$10m up-front fee, a further US$10m on FID and a development carry. Premier acquired Chrysaor\u2019s remaining 40% in Solan in 2015 for no consideration but an NPI and royalty to be paid once Premier\u2019s US$530m development carry plus interest had been repaid.<br \/>\n9 Westwood Atlas for individual UK asset production profiles. Premier\u2019s international production decline based on historical figures.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This note\u00a0gives\u00a0a\u00a0preliminary\u00a0assessment\u00a0of\u00a0the Premier Oil &#038; Chrysaor deal,\u00a0from each company\u2019s perspective and the outlook for the merged company and the\u00a0wider\u00a0North\u00a0Sea\u00a0M&#038;A market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":10808,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[353,326,347,337,48,338,335,334,336,49,325],"tags":[193,392,278,413,55,412,414,415,82],"class_list":{"0":"post-10789","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-all_articles","8":"category-atlas","9":"category-exploration-and-production","10":"category-global-ea-subsectors","11":"category-news","12":"category-nw-europe-subsectors","13":"category-sectors","14":"category-solutions","15":"category-subsectors","16":"category-westwood-insight","17":"category-wildcat","18":"tag-chryasor","19":"tag-exploration-production","20":"tag-ma","21":"tag-merger","22":"tag-north-sea","23":"tag-premier-oil","24":"tag-reverse-takeover","25":"tag-takeover","26":"tag-ukcs"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - 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